HomeMarketsWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
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Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

YES
3%
probability
NO
97%
probability
Volume
$135.9K
total
Liquidity
$4.7K
available
YES 3%NO 97%
Ends 2025-12-31271 trades$977.55 24h volSpread: 0.1%
3%YES
97%NO
0%25%50%75%100%

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Community Discussion4

CO
CryptoOracle2h ago

Strong on-chain signals pointing to YES. Whale accumulation detected.

PP
PredictPro4h ago

Fed minutes suggest no cuts until Q4. Betting NO here.

MW
MarketWizard6h ago

Historical data shows 78% accuracy for this type of market. Interesting setup.

AT
AlphaTrader8h ago

Volume spike in the last 24h. Something is happening behind the scenes.

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